Yes vote for the Voice is leading in every state and territory: Poll

The poll showed the Yes side at or above 50 per cent in four of the six states: Victoria, NSW, South Australia and Tasmania.

In Queensland, the Yes side was on 47 per cent, No was on 40 per cent, and 14 per cent were undecided.

In Western Australia, 48 per cent said they would vote Yes, 37 per cent said No, and the undecided vote was on 15 per cent.

In Tasmania, the Yes vote was teetering at the edge on 50 per cent, but the No side was down on 35 per cent. In South Australia the Yes vote was on 51 per cent, compared with the No vote on 34 per cent.

ACT recorded the highest Yes vote of any jurisdiction with 64 per cent of voters backing the referendum, while the Yes vote was on 52 per cent in the Northern Territory. While the votes of territories count in the national vote, they don’t factor into the second test for referendums to pass.

In Victoria, the Yes vote was on 53 per cent and No was on 31 per cent; in NSW Yes was on 52 per cent and No was on 32 per cent.

The poll did not force respondents to choose a side, meaning it was not known where the undecided voters could fall.

Leading referendum advocate Professor Megan Davis said the results showed that the Australian people were “ready to accept the invitation of the Voice”.

“Our message is connecting,” she said. “We’re going to keep going, talking about the difference this will make to improve the lives of First Nation people across the country right up until referendum day.”

The proposal for a constitutionally enshrined advisory body to parliament has caused division among some high-profile Indigenous Australians, with independent senator Lidia Thorpe, Coalition Indigenous Australians spokeswoman Jacinta Nampijinpa Price and former Labor national president Warren Mundine campaigning against the proposal.

But the poll showed 83 per cent of Indigenous Australians supported the Voice, based on a national sample size of 732.

Davis said Indigenous Australians believed the Voice was a chance to achieve better outcomes for their communities, and the poll reflected that.

The Albanese government has been criticised by the opposition for not providing enough detail ahead of the public vote, including who will be eligible to serve on the body and how it will be structured.

Price said people around the country were telling her that they are “genuinely confused and angry” as to why Albanese was pushing “his vanity Canberra Voice project so hard”.

“The more the prime minister refuses to provide detail, the more Australians are waking up to his divisive Voice proposal,” she said.

“The Voice is a divisive proposal that will do nothing to help Indigenous communities and I think Australians are seeing that and will say No to being divided by race.”

Indigenous Australians Minister Linda Burney said she was confident that the more Australians hear about constitutional recognition through a Voice, the more they will support it.

“Australians get that the Voice is about making a practical difference to the lives of Indigenous Australians by giving communities a say in their future,” she said.

The poll showed four Liberal-held marginal seats – Deakin, Sturt, Casey and Banks – recorded a Yes vote above 50 per cent.

Opposition Leader Peter Dutton’s seat of Dickson in outer-Brisbane had a Yes vote of 47 per cent, compared with a No vote of 40 per cent.

Seven Labor-held marginals – Bennelong, Higgins, Robertson, Tangney, Boothby, Hunter and Chisholm – recorded Yes votes above 50 per cent.

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The central Queensland seat of Maranoa, held by Nationals leader David Littleproud, had the biggest No vote, with 50 per cent against the referendum and 36 per cent supportive.

Labor frontbencher Tanya Plibersek’s seat of Sydney received the biggest support, with 76 per cent for Yes and 14 per cent No.

The poll used a new statistical technique called MRP (multi-level regression with post-stratification) – which combines the results from the national survey with electorate-level information from the census and other government agencies.

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